Premier LeagueMatchday 3
Brighton 1-1 Leeds: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- American Express Community Stadium, Falmer
- Referee:
- Stuart Attwell
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won63%
referee Stuart Attwell averages 5.1 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Won44%
referee Stuart Attwell averages 5.1 cards a match, league average 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%57%O2.554%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Leeds1:0BrightonL
- Brighton3:0LeedsW
- Leeds2:2BrightonD
- Brighton1:0LeedsW
- Leeds1:1BrightonD
Brighton's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.0over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.4league 3.9over 3.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 6
RefereeS. Attwell+1.2 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Brighton : LeedsMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%0-07%1-2—3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%0-0—1-26%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-09%2-02-08%2-09%0-00-07%0-0—1-21-2—1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Brighton win | 49%53% · Elo 53% | 53%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 44%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 25% | 24%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Leeds win | 25%24% · Elo 22% | 24%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Brighton attack vs Leeds defenceattack1546defence1458+88 pts to the attack
Leeds attack vs Brighton defenceattack1450defence1515−65 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Brighton: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Leeds: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Brighton: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Leeds: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Brighton vs Leeds?
Brighton 1-1 Leeds (half time 0-1).
Did the Brighton vs Leeds tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.