Premier LeagueMatchday 2
Chelsea 4-3 Brighton: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Referee:
- Michael Oliver
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%58%O2.559%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Brighton3:0ChelseaL
- Chelsea1:3BrightonL
- Brighton3:0ChelseaL
- Chelsea4:2BrightonW
- Brighton1:2ChelseaW
Chelsea's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.9over 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Oliver−0.6 cards vs average41 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.2total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.9
Chelsea : BrightonMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-26%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%2-07%1-28%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-26%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 75%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%68% | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%58% | 58% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 59%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Chelsea win | 51%44% · Elo 39% | 44%· Elo 39% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Brighton win | 24%31% · Elo 33% | 31%· Elo 33% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Chelsea attack vs Brighton defenceattack1547defence1529+18 pts to the attack
Brighton attack vs Chelsea defenceattack1535defence1525+10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Chelsea concede 2.0 goals per game
- Chelsea: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Chelsea: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Brighton: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Chelsea
Brighton
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Chelsea vs Brighton?
Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (half time 3-1).
Did the Chelsea vs Brighton tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.