Premier LeagueMatchday 6

Ipswich 2-1 Fulham: prediction, tips and result

·

Ipswich
2-12-50-23-20-1
2-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Fulham
1-10-02-30-12-3
Stadium:
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Referee:
Lewis Smith

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Fouls: Under 20.5Won61%

our numbers: 19.3 fouls against a league average of 21.0; under 20.5 fouls in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (48% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Fulham: Over 3.5Won63%

    Fulham: 4.4 shots on target a match, Ipswich's opponents had 5.6 on average, league average 3.8; our numbers for Fulham: 4.4 shots on target against a league average of 3.8

  • Offsides – Ipswich: Over 1.5Lost59%

    our numbers for Ipswich: 2.0 offsides against a league average of 1.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloIpswich176833%21%Draw27%25%Fulham196440%54%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%56%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fulham2:2IpswichD
  2. Ipswich1:1FulhamD
  3. Fulham4:1IpswichL
  4. Ipswich0:2FulhamL
  5. Fulham3:1IpswichL
Ipswich's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 5
RefereeL. Smith+0.1 yellow cards vs average34 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%X22:1coverageleague 68% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.5total 2.7
Ipswich : Fulham
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-18%1-29%2-18%1-07%0-2—Attack/defence1-112%0-19%1-29%2-18%1-08%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%0-10-18%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%1-01-07%1-08%0-20-2—0-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes59%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals56%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals44%49%49%
Both teams to score: no41%44%44%
2 – Fulham win40%41% · Elo 54%41%· Elo 54%
1 – Ipswich win33%33% · Elo 21%33%· Elo 21%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 25%26%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Ipswich attack vs Fulham defenceattack1408defence1500−92 pts to the attack
Fulham attack vs Ipswich defenceattack1487defence1405+82 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%57%
8.551%45%
9.538%32%
10.527%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Ipswichwe expect 4.6, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Fulhamwe expect 4.4, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 63%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 61%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 39%
We expect 19.3 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.547%58%
20.539%52%
21.532%46%
22.526%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Ipswichwe expect 9.8, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 40%
Fulhamwe expect 10.3, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Referee: 19.2 fouls per match on average (32 matches in our data)−1.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 3.6 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.570%63%
3.549%43%
4.530%23%
5.517%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Ipswichwe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 59%
Fulhamwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Ipswich: newly promoted
  • Ipswich: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fulham: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Ipswich

Fulham

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Ipswich63039:129
20Fulham60246:102
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ipswich vs Fulham?

Ipswich 2-1 Fulham (half time 0-0).

Did the Ipswich vs Fulham tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Fouls: Under 20.5. The tip won.

See also