Premier LeagueMatchday 5

Man City 5-3 Sunderland: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Referee:
Robert Jones

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Man CityWon72%

Man City: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; 4 league wins in a row

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMan City221772%79%Draw17%14%Sunderland183411%8%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%50%O2.558%56%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sunderland0:0Man CityD
  2. Man City3:0SunderlandW
  3. Sunderland0:2Man CityW
  4. Man City2:1SunderlandW
  5. Sunderland0:1Man CityW
Man City's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.9under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.won · ended 1
RefereeR. Jones0.0 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.8total 3.1Attack/defence2.1 : 0.8total 2.9
Man City : Sunderland
Most likely scores
Market2-013%1-010%3-010%2-19%1-19%3-1—Attack/defence2-012%1-011%3-08%2-110%1-110%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-012%1-01-010%1-011%3-03-010%3-08%2-12-19%2-110%1-11-19%1-110%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat89%86%86%
12 – no draw83%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
Our tip: 1 – Man City win72%66% · Elo 79%66%· Elo 79%
Under 3.5 goals64%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals58%56%56%
Both teams to score: no52%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes48%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals36%33%33%
X2 – away team avoid defeat28%34%34%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
X – draw17%20% · Elo 14%20%· Elo 14%
2 – Sunderland win11%14% · Elo 8%14%· Elo 8%
Attack vs defence
Man City attack vs Sunderland defenceattack1634defence1453+181 pts to the attack
Sunderland attack vs Man City defenceattack1406defence1624−218 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Man City matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Man City: 4 wins in a row
  • Man City: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sunderland: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Man City660016:518
17Sunderland61146:124
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Man City vs Sunderland?

Man City 5-3 Sunderland (half time 3-2).

Did the Man City vs Sunderland tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Man City. The tip won.