HJK 2-1 VPS: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Referee:
Joni Hyytia

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Won57%

referee Joni Hyytia averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 3.7

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon61%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost39%

referee Joni Hyytia averages 4.3 cards a match, league average 3.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHJK150046%48%Draw26%26%VPS136028%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.558%58%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. VPS2:1HJKL
  2. VPS0:2HJKW
  3. HJK3:1VPSW
  4. VPS1:1HJKD
  5. VPS1:3HJKW
HJK's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.7over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Hyytia+1.0 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
HJK : VPS
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%80%80%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals64%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals58%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%49%49%
1 – HJK win46%51% · Elo 48%51%· Elo 48%
Under 2.5 goals42%42%42%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals36%36%36%
2 – VPS win28%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals19%20%20%
Attack vs defence
HJK attack vs VPS defenceattack1605defence1533+72 pts to the attack
VPS attack vs HJK defenceattack1488defence1526−38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJK27146749:3248
5VPS271161031:3139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HJK vs VPS?

HJK 2-1 VPS (half time 1-0).

Did the HJK vs VPS tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip won.