HJK 6-0 VPS: prediction, tips and result

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6-0Full time(half time 3-0)
Stadium:
Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Referee:
Oliver Reitala

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: HJKWon63%

HJK: won 6 of their last 10 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHJK150062%54%Draw22%24%VPS136017%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.558%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HJK2:1VPSW
  2. VPS2:1HJKL
  3. VPS0:2HJKW
  4. HJK3:1VPSW
  5. VPS1:1HJKD
HJK's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.6under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeO. Reitala−0.1 yellow cards vs average20 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%11:1coverageleague 56% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
HJK : VPS
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-09%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%0-07%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%3-03-07%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat84%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals81%75%75%
12 – no draw79%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals64%72%72%
Our tip: 1 – HJK win62%51% · Elo 54%51%· Elo 54%
Over 2.5 goals58%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes55%53%53%
Both teams to score: no45%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals42%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals36%28%28%
X – draw22%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals19%25%25%
2 – VPS win17%24% · Elo 21%24%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
HJK attack vs VPS defenceattack1611defence1513+98 pts to the attack
VPS attack vs HJK defenceattack1482defence1536−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.558%61%
8.545%49%
9.533%38%
10.522%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
HJKwe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
VPSwe expect 3.6, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 30%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
18.574%59%
19.567%51%
20.560%44%
21.553%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
HJKwe expect 8.9, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 40%
VPSwe expect 12.4, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 76%
Referee: 19.8 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)+1.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%close to the league averageunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.559%59%
3.537%36%
4.520%23%
5.510%10%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
HJKwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
VPSwe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJK27146749:3248
5VPS271161031:3139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HJK vs VPS?

HJK 6-0 VPS (half time 3-0).

Did the HJK vs VPS tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: HJK. The tip won.