Ilves 1-2 HJK: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Tammela Stadium, Tampere
Referee:
Amir Hajizadeh

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won60%

11.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 10.0; our numbers: 10.5 corners against a league average of 10.0

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost48%

11.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 10.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloIlves145727%39%Draw24%28%HJK150049%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%63%O2.561%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HJK2:2IlvesD
  2. Ilves3:1HJKW
  3. HJK2:2IlvesD
  4. HJK5:1IlvesL
  5. Ilves3:2HJKW
Ilves's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.0over 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.8under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Hajizadeh−0.5 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Ilves : HJK
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%2-17%0-27%0-17%1-0—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-19%0-2—0-16%1-07%2-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-210%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%0-20-27%0-2—0-10-17%0-16%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%82%82%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals62%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes62%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals61%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%66%66%
2 – HJK win49%34% · Elo 34%34%· Elo 34%
Under 2.5 goals39%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals38%38%38%
Both teams to score: no38%38%38%
1 – Ilves win27%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Ilves attack vs HJK defenceattack1595defence1524+71 pts to the attack
HJK attack vs Ilves defenceattack1597defence1488+109 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2IlvesRelegation Round261051143:3935
2HJKChampionship Round27146749:3248
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ilves vs HJK?

Ilves 1-2 HJK (half time 0-0).

Did the Ilves vs HJK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.