HJK 3-0 Jaro: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Referee:
Joona Kontinen

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

Other tips

  • Match Result: HJKWon72%

    HJK: won 6 of their last 10 league matches

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost57%

    11.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.3 in the visitors', league average 10.0

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost44%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHJK150072%64%Draw16%21%Jaro125011%15%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jaro2:5HJKW
  2. HJK2:3JaroL
  3. Jaro0:3HJKW
  4. Jaro1:1HJKD
  5. HJK4:0JaroW
HJK's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.7under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Kontinen−1.1 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 3.0
HJK : Jaro
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-010%2-19%1-0—3-09%3-18%Attack/defence1-110%2-010%2-110%1-010%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-010%3-03-09%3-07%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%82%82%
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
12 – no draw83%78%78%
1 – HJK win72%61% · Elo 64%61%· Elo 64%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals66%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals56%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes55%55%55%
Both teams to score: no45%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals44%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals34%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%39%39%
X – draw16%22% · Elo 21%22%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
2 – Jaro win11%18% · Elo 15%18%· Elo 15%
Attack vs defence
HJK attack vs Jaro defenceattack1594defence1420+174 pts to the attack
Jaro attack vs HJK defenceattack1422defence1534−112 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jaro concede 2.3 goals per game
  • HJK: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jaro: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJKChampionship Round27146749:3248
5JaroRelegation Round26481421:4820
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HJK vs Jaro?

HJK 3-0 Jaro (half time 2-0).

Did the HJK vs Jaro tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.