Jaro 1-3 VPS: prediction, tips and result

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1-3Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Project Liv Arena, Jakobstad
Referee:
Dennis Antamo

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost57%

referee Dennis Antamo averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 3.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost36%

referee Dennis Antamo averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 3.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloJaro125024%30%Draw25%27%VPS136051%42%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%53%O2.554%48%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. VPS0:0JaroD
  2. VPS1:3JaroW
  3. Jaro2:2VPSD
  4. VPS0:0JaroD
  5. VPS2:1JaroL
Jaro's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.7under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 4
RefereeD. Antamo−0.7 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.7total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.6
Jaro : VPS
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-29%1-0—0-07%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-29%0-110%0-2—1-09%0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-19%0-110%0-20-29%0-2—1-01-0—1-09%0-00-07%0-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%67%67%
12 – no draw75%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals68%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes56%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals54%48%48%
2 – VPS win51%40% · Elo 42%40%· Elo 42%
1X – home team avoid defeat49%60%60%
Under 2.5 goals46%52%52%
Both teams to score: no44%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals32%27%27%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
1 – Jaro win24%33% · Elo 30%33%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals21%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Jaro attack vs VPS defenceattack1419defence1524−105 pts to the attack
VPS attack vs Jaro defenceattack1488defence1434+54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jaro concede 2.0 goals per game
  • VPS matches average only 7.9 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Jaro: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • VPS: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5JaroRelegation Round26481421:4820
5VPSChampionship Round271161031:3139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Jaro vs VPS?

Jaro 1-3 VPS (half time 1-2).

Did the Jaro vs VPS tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.