HJK 1-0 TPS: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Referee:
Amir Hajizadeh

The match in numbers

1X2EloHJK150071%56%Draw17%24%TPS133512%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%56%O2.566%59%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. TPS1:0HJKL
  2. HJK2:2TPSD
  3. TPS0:2HJKW
  4. TPS0:4HJKW
  5. HJK2:1TPSW
HJK's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 2
RefereeA. Hajizadeh−0.1 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.0
HJK : TPS
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-010%2-19%1-0—3-08%3-18%Attack/defence1-110%2-010%2-110%1-09%3-06%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%3-03-08%3-06%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%81%81%
Over 1.5 goals86%81%81%
12 – no draw83%78%78%
1 – HJK win71%59% · Elo 56%59%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals66%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes56%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals55%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals45%36%36%
Both teams to score: no44%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals34%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat29%41%41%
X – draw17%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals14%19%19%
2 – TPS win12%19% · Elo 20%19%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
HJK attack vs TPS defenceattack1611defence1470+141 pts to the attack
TPS attack vs HJK defenceattack1414defence1527−113 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJKChampionship Round27146749:3248
3TPSRelegation Round26881028:2832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HJK vs TPS?

HJK 1-0 TPS (half time 1-0).