TPS 1-3 Ilves: prediction, tips and result

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1-3Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Veritas Stadium, Turku
Referee:
Miikka Haapakoski

The match in numbers

1X2EloTPS133537%30%Draw26%27%Ilves145737%43%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%61%O2.559%58%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Ilves1:0TPSL
  2. Ilves4:0TPSL
  3. TPS0:1IlvesL
  4. Ilves2:0TPSL
  5. TPS1:3IlvesL
TPS's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.7under 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 8
RefereeM. Haapakoskifirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.7total 3.0
TPS : Ilves
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-28%2-18%0-16%0-2—1-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-27%1-06%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-16%0-18%0-20-2—0-27%1-01-0—1-06%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals63%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes62%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals59%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals41%42%42%
Both teams to score: no38%39%39%
1 – TPS win37%31% · Elo 30%31%· Elo 30%
2 – Ilves win37%44% · Elo 43%44%· Elo 43%
Over 3.5 goals37%36%36%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals18%20%20%
Attack vs defence
TPS attack vs Ilves defenceattack1420defence1488−68 pts to the attack
Ilves attack vs TPS defenceattack1616defence1480+136 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Ilves261051143:3935
3TPS26881028:2832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of TPS vs Ilves?

TPS 1-3 Ilves (half time 1-2).