TPS 0-3 Ilves: prediction, tips and result

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0-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Veritas Stadium, Turku
Referee:
Kalle Nummela

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won57%

11.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.6 in the visitors', league average 9.8; over 9.5 corners in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Won45%

11.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.6 in the visitors', league average 9.8; over 10.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTPS133535%32%Draw26%27%Ilves145739%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.558%49%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. TPS1:3IlvesL
  2. Ilves1:0TPSL
  3. Ilves4:0TPSL
  4. TPS0:1IlvesL
  5. Ilves2:0TPSL
TPS's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.8over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 4
RefereeK. Nummelafirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.4total 2.6
TPS : Ilves
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-29%1-06%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%1-08%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-17%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-06%1-08%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%74%74%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%68%68%
Under 3.5 goals64%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes61%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals58%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals42%51%51%
2 – Ilves win39%41% · Elo 41%41%· Elo 41%
Both teams to score: no39%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals36%27%27%
1 – TPS win35%33% · Elo 32%33%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals19%26%26%
Attack vs defence
TPS attack vs Ilves defenceattack1420defence1480−60 pts to the attack
Ilves attack vs TPS defenceattack1600defence1496+104 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Ilves261051143:3935
3TPS26881028:2832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of TPS vs Ilves?

TPS 0-3 Ilves (half time 0-1).

Did the TPS vs Ilves tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.