Mariehamn 1-0 TPS: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Referee:
Antti Munukka

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost57%

over 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches); 10.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.7 in the visitors', league average 9.9

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost45%

over 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (40% of league matches); 10.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.7 in the visitors', league average 9.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMariehamn124036%27%Draw26%27%TPS133538%46%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%50%O2.556%44%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. TPS3:0MariehamnL
  2. Mariehamn1:1TPSD
  3. TPS1:1MariehamnD
  4. Mariehamn1:0TPSW
  5. Mariehamn2:2TPSD
Mariehamn's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Munukka−0.2 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.3total 2.5
Mariehamn : TPS
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-17%1-07%0-0—1-28%2-18%0-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%1-09%0-09%1-29%2-1—0-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-17%0-111%1-01-07%1-09%0-00-0—0-09%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-1—0-20-2—0-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%70%70%
12 – no draw74%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals67%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%68%68%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes60%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals56%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals44%56%56%
Both teams to score: no40%50%50%
2 – TPS win38%40% · Elo 46%40%· Elo 46%
1 – Mariehamn win36%32% · Elo 27%32%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals33%23%23%
X – draw26%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%30%30%
Attack vs defence
Mariehamn attack vs TPS defenceattack1382defence1499−117 pts to the attack
TPS attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1425defence1367+58 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mariehamn concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Mariehamn: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • TPS: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3TPS26881028:2832
6Mariehamn26461621:4818
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mariehamn vs TPS?

Mariehamn 1-0 TPS (half time 1-0).

Did the Mariehamn vs TPS tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.