Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Tammela Stadium, Tampere
Referee:
Oliver Reitala

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: IlvesWon75%

Mariehamn: winless in their last 18 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost68%

    our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloIlves145775%70%Draw15%18%Mariehamn124010%12%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%56%O2.568%66%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mariehamn2:2IlvesD
  2. Ilves2:1MariehamnW
  3. Mariehamn3:2IlvesL
  4. Ilves2:0MariehamnW
  5. Mariehamn0:1IlvesW
Ilves's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 4
RefereeO. Reitala−0.3 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.9total 3.6Attack/defence2.4 : 1.0total 3.4
Ilves : Mariehamn
Most likely scores
Market2-010%2-19%3-09%1-1—3-18%1-07%Attack/defence2-010%2-110%3-08%1-18%3-18%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-08%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-18%3-18%1-01-07%1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%87%87%
Over 1.5 goals87%85%85%
12 – no draw85%82%82%
Our tip: 1 – Ilves win75%70% · Elo 70%70%· Elo 70%
Over 2.5 goals68%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes54%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals53%56%56%
Over 3.5 goals47%44%44%
Both teams to score: no46%44%44%
Under 2.5 goals32%34%34%
X2 – away team avoid defeat25%30%30%
X – draw15%18% · Elo 18%18%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals13%15%15%
2 – Mariehamn win10%13% · Elo 12%13%· Elo 12%
Attack vs defence
Ilves attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1612defence1342+270 pts to the attack
Mariehamn attack vs Ilves defenceattack1352defence1498−146 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mariehamn concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Mariehamn score only 0.4 goals per game
  • Mariehamn: no win in 18 matches
  • Ilves: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Mariehamn: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Ilves261051143:3935
6Mariehamn26461621:4818
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ilves vs Mariehamn?

Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn (half time 2-0).

Did the Ilves vs Mariehamn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Ilves. The tip won.