Mariehamn 1-1 Ilves: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn
- Referee:
- Matti Roth
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%
10.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 9.9
For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Lost44%
10.9 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 9.9; over 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (42% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%57%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ilves2:0MariehamnL
- Mariehamn2:2IlvesD
- Ilves2:1MariehamnL
- Mariehamn3:2IlvesW
- Ilves2:0MariehamnL
Mariehamn's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 5
RefereeM. Roth+0.3 yellow cards vs average18 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.51:1coverageleague 69% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.8total 2.9
Mariehamn : IlvesMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%0-17%0-2—2-18%2-26%1-3—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-19%0-29%2-16%2-2—1-36%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-210%0-10-17%0-19%0-20-2—0-29%2-12-18%2-16%2-22-26%2-2—1-31-3—1-36%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 69%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%48% | 48% |
| 2 – Ilves win | 43%52% · Elo 56% | 52%· Elo 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Mariehamn win | 32%24% · Elo 20% | 24%· Elo 20% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Mariehamn attack vs Ilves defenceattack1386defence1485−99 pts to the attack
Ilves attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1613defence1378+235 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.561%61%
8.548%49%
9.535%39%
10.525%28%
Each team on its own
Mariehamnwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Ilveswe expect 4.4, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Foulsleague average
Over 19.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 21.9 in this match, 19.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.18.571%59%
19.565%52%
20.557%44%
21.550%38%
Each team on its own
Mariehamnwe expect 10.8, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 62%
Ilveswe expect 10.1, league average 10.0 · chance of over 9.5: 54%
Referee: 20.2 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)+2.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 67%close to the league averageunderover 33%
We expect 2.9 in this match, 3.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.555%59%
3.533%36%
4.517%23%
5.58%10%
Each team on its own
Mariehamnwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Ilveswe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
Relegation Round
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:39 | 35 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21:48 | 18 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Mariehamn 1-1 Ilves (half time 0-0).
Did the Mariehamn vs Ilves tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.