KuPS 2-4 Mariehamn: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Kuopio Football Stadium, Kuopio
Referee:
Joona Kontinen

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: KuPSLost72%

KuPS: won 7 of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 3.5Won56%

    referee Joona Kontinen averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.8

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon55%

    KuPS: scored in each of their last 13 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKuPS152472%78%Draw16%14%Mariehamn124012%8%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%46%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 2.3 : 0.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mariehamn1:1KuPSD
  2. Mariehamn1:0KuPSL
  3. KuPS4:1MariehamnW
  4. KuPS3:0MariehamnW
  5. Mariehamn2:2KuPSD
KuPS's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.8under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Kontinen−1.1 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence2.3 : 0.7total 3.0
KuPS : Mariehamn
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-08%3-09%2-19%1-18%3-1—Attack/defence2-013%1-011%3-010%2-19%1-18%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-013%1-01-08%1-011%3-03-09%3-010%2-12-19%2-19%1-11-18%1-18%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%90%90%
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
12 – no draw84%83%83%
Our tip: 1 – KuPS win72%73% · Elo 78%73%· Elo 78%
Over 2.5 goals66%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals56%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes55%46%46%
Both teams to score: no45%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals44%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals34%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat28%27%27%
X – draw16%17% · Elo 14%17%· Elo 14%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
2 – Mariehamn win12%10% · Elo 8%10%· Elo 8%
Attack vs defence
KuPS attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1615defence1363+252 pts to the attack
Mariehamn attack vs KuPS defenceattack1355defence1651−296 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mariehamn concede 2.4 goals per game
  • Mariehamn score only 0.6 goals per game
  • KuPS: unbeaten in 14 matches
  • KuPS: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • KuPS: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mariehamn: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3KuPSChampionship Round27139541:2648
6MariehamnRelegation Round26461621:4818
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of KuPS vs Mariehamn?

KuPS 2-4 Mariehamn (half time 1-3).

Did the KuPS vs Mariehamn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: KuPS. The tip lost.