SJK 2-1 Mariehamn: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
OmaSP Stadion, Seinajoki
Referee:
Dennis Antamo

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost56%

11.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 9.8

For the brave
Corners: Over 11.5Lost33%

11.1 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.0 in the visitors', league average 9.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSJK139054%57%Draw25%24%Mariehamn124021%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%54%O2.556%56%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mariehamn2:0SJKL
  2. SJK3:0MariehamnW
  3. SJK4:1MariehamnW
  4. Mariehamn1:2SJKW
  5. Mariehamn0:4SJKW
SJK's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.8over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.8under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 7
RefereeD. Antamo−0.6 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.1total 2.9Attack/defence2.0 : 1.0total 2.9
SJK : Mariehamn
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-09%2-110%1-09%3-0—3-1—0-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-010%2-110%1-010%3-07%3-17%0-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-010%3-03-0—3-07%3-13-1—3-17%0-00-06%0-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%82%82%
12 – no draw75%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals66%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes57%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals56%56%56%
1 – SJK win54%59% · Elo 57%59%· Elo 57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat46%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals44%44%44%
Both teams to score: no43%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals34%34%34%
X – draw25%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
2 – Mariehamn win21%18% · Elo 20%18%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals20%21%21%
Attack vs defence
SJK attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1560defence1372+188 pts to the attack
Mariehamn attack vs SJK defenceattack1383defence1476−93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • SJK matches average 5.1 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • SJK: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Mariehamn: 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • SJK: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Mariehamn: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4SJK26691129:3527
6Mariehamn26461621:4818
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of SJK vs Mariehamn?

SJK 2-1 Mariehamn (half time 0-1).

Did the SJK vs Mariehamn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.