Lahti 2-1 Mariehamn: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Lahti Stadium, Lahti
Referee:
Matti Roth

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: LahtiWon64%

Lahti: won 6 of their last 10 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLahti134264%54%Draw21%24%Mariehamn124016%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%50%O2.559%47%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mariehamn0:2LahtiW
  2. Lahti1:1MariehamnD
  3. Lahti2:1MariehamnW
  4. Mariehamn0:0LahtiD
  5. Lahti3:0MariehamnW
Lahti's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 5
RefereeM. Roth−0.3 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Lahti : Mariehamn
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-09%2-011%2-110%0-0—3-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-08%3-0—0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-09%1-012%2-02-011%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%3-03-07%3-0—0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals81%73%73%
12 – no draw80%74%74%
Our tip: 1 – Lahti win64%52% · Elo 54%52%· Elo 54%
Under 3.5 goals64%74%74%
Over 2.5 goals59%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes54%50%50%
Both teams to score: no46%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals41%53%53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat37%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals36%26%26%
X – draw21%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals19%27%27%
2 – Mariehamn win16%22% · Elo 21%22%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Lahti attack vs Mariehamn defenceattack1438defence1372+66 pts to the attack
Mariehamn attack vs Lahti defenceattack1379defence1503−124 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Mariehamn concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Lahti: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lahti concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Lahti: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lahti: newly promoted
  • Lahti: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Mariehamn: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lahti261061030:2536
6Mariehamn26461621:4818
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lahti vs Mariehamn?

Lahti 2-1 Mariehamn (half time 1-0).

Did the Lahti vs Mariehamn tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Lahti. The tip won.