Ilves 0-1 VPS: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Tammela Stadium, Tampere
Referee:
Matti Roth

The match in numbers

1X2EloIlves145741%51%Draw26%26%VPS136033%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%59%O2.556%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. VPS3:2IlvesL
  2. Ilves3:2VPSW
  3. VPS1:0IlvesL
  4. VPS0:2IlvesW
  5. Ilves3:2VPSW
Ilves's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 4
RefereeM. Roth−0.1 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.0
Ilves : VPS
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%2-0—0-17%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%1-27%2-08%0-1—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-08%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-08%0-10-17%0-1—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%80%80%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals67%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes59%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals56%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals44%43%43%
1 – Ilves win41%49% · Elo 51%49%· Elo 51%
Both teams to score: no41%41%41%
2 – VPS win33%27% · Elo 24%27%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals33%35%35%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Ilves attack vs VPS defenceattack1605defence1510+95 pts to the attack
VPS attack vs Ilves defenceattack1496defence1490+6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • VPS matches average only 7.5 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Ilves: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • VPS: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2IlvesRelegation Round261051143:3935
5VPSChampionship Round271161031:3139
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ilves vs VPS?

Ilves 0-1 VPS (half time 0-1).