Gnistan 3-2 Ilves: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
Referee:
Antti Munukka

The match in numbers

1X2EloGnistan140035%32%Draw26%27%Ilves145739%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%62%O2.561%60%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Ilves2:0GnistanL
  2. Gnistan1:3IlvesL
  3. Ilves3:2GnistanL
  4. Ilves2:2GnistanD
  5. Gnistan0:2IlvesL
Gnistan's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeA. Munukka−0.4 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Gnistan : Ilves
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-17%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-16%0-17%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%81%81%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes64%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals61%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals61%63%63%
2 – Ilves win39%40% · Elo 40%40%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals39%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals39%37%37%
Both teams to score: no36%38%38%
1 – Gnistan win35%35% · Elo 32%35%· Elo 32%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals17%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Gnistan attack vs Ilves defenceattack1505defence1500+5 pts to the attack
Ilves attack vs Gnistan defenceattack1606defence1465+141 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4GnistanChampionship Round27119740:3342
2IlvesRelegation Round261051143:3935
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Gnistan vs Ilves?

Gnistan 3-2 Ilves (half time 2-2).