Ilves 1-0 Lahti: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Tammela Stadium, Tampere
Referee:
Antti Munukka

The match in numbers

1X2EloIlves145737%56%Draw26%24%Lahti134236%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.557%61%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lahti5:0IlvesL
  2. Lahti2:2IlvesD
  3. Ilves0:0LahtiD
  4. Lahti1:5IlvesW
  5. Lahti3:2IlvesL
Ilves's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Munukka−0.7 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.2
Ilves : Lahti
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%2-0—1-07%1-28%0-17%3-1—3-0—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-08%1-2—0-1—3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-110%2-12-18%2-110%2-02-0—2-09%1-01-07%1-08%1-21-28%1-2—0-10-17%0-1—3-13-1—3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%82%82%
12 – no draw73%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals65%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%80%80%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%42%42%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals57%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals43%39%39%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
1 – Ilves win37%58% · Elo 56%58%· Elo 56%
2 – Lahti win36%20% · Elo 20%20%· Elo 20%
Over 3.5 goals35%39%39%
X – draw26%22% · Elo 24%22%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals19%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Ilves attack vs Lahti defenceattack1625defence1477+148 pts to the attack
Lahti attack vs Ilves defenceattack1422defence1495−73 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Ilves: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lahti: newly promoted
  • Ilves: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lahti: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Relegation Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lahti261061030:2536
2Ilves261051143:3935
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Ilves vs Lahti?

Ilves 1-0 Lahti (half time 1-0).