HJK 2-3 Gnistan: prediction, tips and result

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2-3Full time(half time 2-0)
Stadium:
Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Referee:
Dennis Antamo

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: HJKLost60%

HJK: won 6 of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won64%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Corners: Over 9.5Lost55%

    11.5 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.8 in the visitors', league average 9.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloHJK150060%51%Draw21%25%Gnistan140019%24%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.564%59%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gnistan0:3HJKW
  2. Gnistan2:2HJKD
  3. HJK2:3GnistanL
  4. Gnistan2:4HJKW
  5. HJK0:1GnistanL
HJK's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeD. Antamo−0.6 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.0
HJK : Gnistan
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-09%1-07%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-08%1-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%1-01-07%1-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%76%76%
12 – no draw79%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals64%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Our tip: 1 – HJK win60%53% · Elo 51%53%· Elo 51%
Under 3.5 goals59%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals41%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%47%47%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals36%41%41%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 25%23%· Elo 25%
2 – Gnistan win19%24% · Elo 24%24%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals15%19%19%
Attack vs defence
HJK attack vs Gnistan defenceattack1598defence1466+132 pts to the attack
Gnistan attack vs HJK defenceattack1515defence1538−23 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

Championship Round

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2HJK27146749:3248
4Gnistan27119740:3342
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of HJK vs Gnistan?

HJK 2-3 Gnistan (half time 2-0).

Did the HJK vs Gnistan tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: HJK. The tip lost.