Ligue 1Matchday 3

Le Havre 1-2 Brest: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stade Oceane, Le Havre
Referee:
Marc Bollengier

The match in numbers

1X2EloLe Havre169334%36%Draw29%28%Brest177337%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.547%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Brest2:0Le HavreL
  2. Le Havre1:0BrestW
  3. Le Havre0:1BrestL
  4. Brest2:0Le HavreL
  5. Brest1:0Le HavreL
Le Havre's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.6under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 3
RefereeM. Bollengier+0.3 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.6
Le Havre : Brest
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-09%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-19%0-08%2-19%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%0-10-19%0-19%0-00-09%0-08%2-12-1—2-19%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals74%73%73%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%66%66%
Under 2.5 goals53%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes53%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals47%49%49%
Both teams to score: no47%46%46%
2 – Brest win37%34% · Elo 36%34%· Elo 36%
1 – Le Havre win34%39% · Elo 36%39%· Elo 36%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals26%26%26%
Over 3.5 goals26%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Le Havre attack vs Brest defenceattack1408defence1453−45 pts to the attack
Brest attack vs Le Havre defenceattack1499defence1477+22 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Brest concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Le Havre: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Brest: no win in 11 matches
  • Brest: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Le Havre: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Brest: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Brest622212:98
18Le Havre60244:82
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Le Havre vs Brest?

Le Havre 1-2 Brest (half time 0-1).