Ligue 1Matchday 3
Lens 0-1 Lorient: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
- Referee:
- Eric Wattellier
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost56%
our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.9; referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.9
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost35%
referee Eric Wattellier averages 3.1 cards a match, league average 3.9; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.559%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lorient2:1LensL
- Lens3:0LorientW
- Lens2:0LorientW
- Lorient0:0LensD
- Lorient1:3LensW
Lens's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.6over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.9under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 5
RefereeE. Wattellier−0.8 cards vs average21 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Lens : LorientMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-09%2-010%2-110%3-07%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-010%2-110%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-01-09%1-010%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-06%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 84%81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%68% | 68% |
| 1 – Lens win | 63%58% · Elo 60% | 58%· Elo 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 37%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 21%23% · Elo 23% | 23%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%22% | 22% |
| 2 – Lorient win | 16%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Lens attack vs Lorient defenceattack1607defence1488+119 pts to the attack
Lorient attack vs Lens defenceattack1448defence1562−114 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lens score 2.3 goals per game
- Lens matches average 12.0 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Lens: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lorient: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lens vs Lorient?
Lens 0-1 Lorient (half time 0-0).
Did the Lens vs Lorient tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.