Ligue 1Matchday 3

Marseille 2-3 Paris FC: prediction, tips and result

·

2-3Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
CEPAC Velodrome, Marseille
Referee:
Clement Turpin

The match in numbers

1X2EloMarseille183850%51%Draw25%26%Paris FC179925%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%55%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Paris FC2:2MarseilleD
  2. Marseille5:2Paris FCW
Marseille's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses5.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6under 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 2
RefereeC. Turpin−0.7 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Marseille : Paris FC
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-27%0-0—3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-09%1-2—0-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-08%2-09%1-21-27%1-2—0-00-0—0-06%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%78%78%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals65%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes59%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
1 – Marseille win50%55% · Elo 51%55%· Elo 51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals35%32%32%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
2 – Paris FC win25%22% · Elo 23%22%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Marseille attack vs Paris FC defenceattack1588defence1495+93 pts to the attack
Paris FC attack vs Marseille defenceattack1457defence1539−82 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Paris FC: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Marseille: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Paris FC: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Paris FC63218:411
13Marseille62049:86
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Marseille vs Paris FC?

Marseille 2-3 Paris FC (half time 1-2).