Ligue 1Matchday 3

Paris SG 1-2 Monaco: prediction, tips and result

·

1-2Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Parc des Princes, Paris
Referee:
Jerome Brisard

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%

our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

Other tips

  • Cards: Over 3.5Lost56%

    referee Jerome Brisard averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 3.9

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost50%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloParis SG218473%72%Draw15%17%Monaco192512%11%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%59%O2.571%61%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Paris SG1:3MonacoL
  2. Paris SG2:2MonacoD
  3. Monaco2:3Paris SGW
  4. Monaco1:0Paris SGL
  5. Paris SG4:1MonacoW
Paris SG's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.9over 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 2
RefereeJ. Brisard+0.8 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 1.0total 3.7Attack/defence2.0 : 1.1total 3.1
Paris SG : Monaco
Most likely scores
Market1-17%2-19%2-09%1-0—3-08%3-18%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-09%3-06%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-01-0—1-09%3-03-08%3-06%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
12 – no draw85%78%78%
1 – Paris SG win73%57% · Elo 72%57%· Elo 72%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals71%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes59%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals50%38%38%
Under 3.5 goals50%62%62%
Both teams to score: no41%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals29%40%40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%43%43%
X – draw15%22% · Elo 17%22%· Elo 17%
2 – Monaco win12%21% · Elo 11%21%· Elo 11%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Paris SG attack vs Monaco defenceattack1673defence1518+155 pts to the attack
Monaco attack vs Paris SG defenceattack1575defence1620−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Paris SG matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Paris SG: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Paris SG: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Monaco: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Monaco642010:514
6Paris SG632111:811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Paris SG vs Monaco?

Paris SG 1-2 Monaco (half time 1-0).

Did the Paris SG vs Monaco tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.