2. BundesligaMatchday 6

Cottbus 1-1 St Pauli: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
LEAG Energie Stadion, Cottbus
Referee:
Michael Bacher

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost68%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (59% of league matches); our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost46%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCottbus145530%25%Draw24%26%St Pauli163146%49%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS68%60%O2.568%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cottbus1:1St PauliD
  2. St Pauli3:0CottbusL
  3. St Pauli0:0CottbusD
  4. Cottbus2:0St PauliW
  5. St Pauli0:0CottbusD
Cottbus's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.7under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM. Bacher+0.1 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.9total 3.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.4total 3.0
Cottbus : St Pauli
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-17%1-29%1-0—2-27%2-0—0-1—1-36%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-2—2-07%0-16%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-17%2-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—2-02-0—2-07%0-10-1—0-16%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%80%80%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%56%56%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%58%58%
Both teams to score: yes68%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat54%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals54%65%65%
2 – St Pauli win46%31% · Elo 49%31%· Elo 49%
Over 3.5 goals46%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals32%42%42%
Both teams to score: no32%40%40%
1 – Cottbus win30%44% · Elo 25%44%· Elo 25%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals13%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Cottbus attack vs St Pauli defenceattack1529defence1531−2 pts to the attack
St Pauli attack vs Cottbus defenceattack1490defence1491−1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cottbus: newly promoted
  • St Pauli: newly promoted
  • Cottbus: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • St Pauli: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7St Pauli724110:810
8Cottbus722315:168
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cottbus vs St Pauli?

Cottbus 1-1 St Pauli (half time 1-0).

Did the Cottbus vs St Pauli tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.