2. BundesligaMatchday 2

Greuther Furth 2-4 Nurnberg: prediction, tips and result

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2-4Full time(half time 2-2)
Stadium:
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Furth
Referee:
Tom Bauer

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost57%

our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost39%

our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGreuther Furth141131%33%Draw26%28%Nurnberg153543%39%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Greuther Furth1:1NurnbergD
  2. Nurnberg2:2Greuther FurthD
  3. Nurnberg3:0Greuther FurthL
  4. Greuther Furth0:4NurnbergL
  5. Greuther Furth2:1NurnbergW
Greuther Furth's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.7under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeT. Bauer−0.9 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Greuther Furth : Nurnberg
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-17%0-27%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%0-2—2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat69%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals64%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%65%65%
2 – Nurnberg win43%35% · Elo 39%35%· Elo 39%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Both teams to score: no39%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals36%33%33%
1 – Greuther Furth win31%40% · Elo 33%40%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Greuther Furth attack vs Nurnberg defenceattack1475defence1510−35 pts to the attack
Nurnberg attack vs Greuther Furth defenceattack1501defence1468+33 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Greuther Furth matches average only 3.5 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Nurnberg: 18 pts in 9 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Greuther Furth: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Nurnberg: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Nurnberg752020:1017
15Greuther Furth713310:136
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg?

Greuther Furth 2-4 Nurnberg (half time 2-2).

Did the Greuther Furth vs Nurnberg tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.