BundesligaMatchday 2
Hamburg 0-5 Mainz: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
- Referee:
- Tobias Reichel
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%57%O2.555%54%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Mainz1:1HamburgD
- Hamburg4:0MainzW
- Hamburg0:0MainzD
- Mainz3:2HamburgL
- Hamburg0:0MainzD
Hamburg's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 4
RefereeT. Reichel+0.2 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Hamburg : MainzMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-08%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-18%0-18%1-01-07%1-08%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%64% | 64% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 60%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Mainz win | 40%38% · Elo 42% | 38%· Elo 42% |
| 1 – Hamburg win | 33%36% · Elo 30% | 36%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Hamburg attack vs Mainz defenceattack1415defence1531−116 pts to the attack
Mainz attack vs Hamburg defenceattack1469defence1446+23 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hamburg concede 2.0 goals per game
- Hamburg matches average 5.2 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Mainz concede a lot late on: 12 of 27 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Hamburg: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Mainz: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Hamburg
Mainz
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Hamburg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:15 | 6 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hamburg vs Mainz?
Hamburg 0-5 Mainz (half time 0-2).