BundesligaMatchday 3
Mainz 1-3 Ein Frankfurt: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Mewa Arena, Mainz
- Referee:
- Felix Zwayer
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost57%
referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.5 cards a match, league average 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost39%
referee Felix Zwayer averages 4.5 cards a match, league average 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%62%O2.566%60%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Mainz2:1Ein FrankfurtW
- Ein Frankfurt1:0MainzL
- Mainz1:1Ein FrankfurtD
- Ein Frankfurt1:3MainzW
- Ein Frankfurt1:0MainzL
Mainz's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.8over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 2
RefereeF. Zwayer+0.7 cards vs average27 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.3total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Mainz : Ein FrankfurtMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-06%2-07%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-06%1-08%2-02-07%2-07%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 77%72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%62% | 62% |
| 1 – Mainz win | 55%48% · Elo 47% | 48%· Elo 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%40% | 40% |
| 2 – Ein Frankfurt win | 23%28% · Elo 26% | 28%· Elo 26% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Mainz attack vs Ein Frankfurt defenceattack1486defence1468+18 pts to the attack
Ein Frankfurt attack vs Mainz defenceattack1518defence1544−26 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Ein Frankfurt concede 2.3 goals per game
- Ein Frankfurt: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Ein Frankfurt: no win in 7 matches
- Ein Frankfurt: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Mainz concede a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Mainz: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Ein Frankfurt: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 14 | Ein Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt?
Mainz 1-3 Ein Frankfurt (half time 0-2).
Did the Mainz vs Ein Frankfurt tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.