BundesligaMatchday 3

Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04: prediction, tips and result

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1-3Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
An der alten Forsterei, Berlin
Referee:
Timo Gerach

The match in numbers

1X2EloUnion Berlin173541%64%Draw28%21%Schalke 04157032%15%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%55%O2.555%52%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Union Berlin0:0Schalke 04D
  2. Schalke 041:6Union BerlinW
  3. Union Berlin0:0Schalke 04D
  4. Schalke 041:1Union BerlinD
  5. Union Berlin1:1Schalke 04D
Union Berlin's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeT. Gerach+0.2 cards vs average17 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Union Berlin : Schalke 04
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%2-07%1-28%0-1—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%1-2—0-17%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-28%1-2—0-10-1—0-17%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%76%76%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals67%71%71%
X2 – away team avoid defeat60%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes59%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals45%48%48%
1 – Union Berlin win41%48% · Elo 64%48%· Elo 64%
Both teams to score: no41%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals33%29%29%
2 – Schalke 04 win32%27% · Elo 15%27%· Elo 15%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 21%26%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals21%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Union Berlin attack vs Schalke 04 defenceattack1427defence1470−43 pts to the attack
Schalke 04 attack vs Union Berlin defenceattack1381defence1485−104 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Union Berlin concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Union Berlin: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Union Berlin score a lot late on: 13 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Schalke 04: newly promoted
  • Union Berlin: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Schalke 04: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Schalke 0451224:65
16Union Berlin51135:174
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Union Berlin vs Schalke 04?

Union Berlin 1-3 Schalke 04 (half time 0-1).