Premier DivisionMatchday 33

Shelbourne 5-1 Sligo Rovers: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Tolka Park, Dublin

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: ShelbourneWon74%

Sligo Rovers: winless in their last 14 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won62%

    our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShelbourne141178%59%Draw14%24%Sligo Rovers12309%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%48%O2.568%50%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sligo Rovers2:2ShelbourneD
  2. Shelbourne0:0Sligo RoversD
  3. Sligo Rovers0:1ShelbourneW
  4. Shelbourne3:1Sligo RoversW
  5. Sligo Rovers0:2ShelbourneW
Shelbourne's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.7 : 0.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 0.8total 2.7
Shelbourne : Sligo Rovers
Most likely scores
Market1-07%2-011%1-1—3-010%2-19%3-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-012%2-012%1-111%3-07%2-110%3-1—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-07%1-012%2-02-011%2-012%1-11-1—1-111%3-03-010%3-07%2-12-19%2-110%3-13-18%3-1—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat92%84%84%
12 – no draw87%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals87%75%75%
Our tip: 1 – Shelbourne win78%61% · Elo 59%61%· Elo 59%
Over 2.5 goals68%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals53%72%72%
Both teams to score: yes52%48%48%
Both teams to score: no48%52%52%
Over 3.5 goals47%28%28%
Under 2.5 goals32%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat23%39%39%
X – draw14%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals13%25%25%
2 – Sligo Rovers win9%16% · Elo 17%16%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Shelbourne attack vs Sligo Rovers defenceattack1485defence1366+119 pts to the attack
Sligo Rovers attack vs Shelbourne defenceattack1376defence1562−186 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.556%59%
8.543%45%
9.531%29%
10.521%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shelbournewe expect 5.5, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Sligo Roverswe expect 2.9, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 20.8 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.550%53%
21.543%49%
22.536%44%
23.529%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shelbournewe expect 10.1, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Sligo Roverswe expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.578%78%
2.555%49%
3.533%34%
4.517%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Shelbournewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Sligo Roverswe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sligo Rovers score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Sligo Rovers: 4 defeats in a row
  • Sligo Rovers: only 3 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Shelbourne: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sligo Rovers: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shelbourne3310131047:4643
10Sligo Rovers33582025:5923
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Shelbourne 5-1 Sligo Rovers (half time 1-1).

Did the Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Shelbourne. The tip won.