Premier DivisionMatchday 32

Dundalk 2-3 Shelbourne: prediction, tips and result

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Dundalk
2-31-23-21-10-4
2-3Full time(half time 1-1)
Shelbourne
1-20-10-01-11-2
Stadium:
Oriel Park, Dundalk (attendance: 2,641)

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (47% of league matches); our numbers: 3.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won58%

    under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDundalk131337%33%Draw26%30%Shelbourne141136%37%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%54%O2.559%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Shelbourne2:1DundalkL
  2. Dundalk1:2ShelbourneL
  3. Shelbourne2:3DundalkW
  4. Dundalk0:1ShelbourneL
  5. Shelbourne1:0DundalkL
Dundalk's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.3under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.4under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Dundalk : Shelbourne
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-1—1-06%1-28%2-18%0-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-09%1-28%2-18%0-08%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-1—0-19%1-01-06%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals63%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes62%54%54%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals59%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals41%51%51%
Both teams to score: no38%46%46%
1 – Dundalk win37%35% · Elo 33%35%· Elo 33%
Over 3.5 goals37%27%27%
2 – Shelbourne win36%38% · Elo 37%38%· Elo 37%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 30%27%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals18%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Dundalk attack vs Shelbourne defenceattack1492defence1566−74 pts to the attack
Shelbourne attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1480defence1394+86 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dundalk concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Dundalk: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Shelbourne: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • Dundalk: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Shelbourne: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Dundalk

Shelbourne

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shelbourne3310131047:4643
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dundalk vs Shelbourne?

Dundalk 2-3 Shelbourne (half time 1-1).

Did the Dundalk vs Shelbourne tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also