Premier DivisionMatchday 27

Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Dundalk: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%

Dundalk: scored in each of their last 13 league matches; goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won59%

    under 10.5 corners in 10 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches); 7.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.4 in the visitors', league average 10.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShamrock Rovers150557%61%Draw24%23%Dundalk131319%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%50%O2.559%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dundalk1:0Shamrock RoversL
  2. Shamrock Rovers1:1DundalkD
  3. Dundalk0:1Shamrock RoversW
  4. Shamrock Rovers1:0DundalkW
  5. Dundalk1:0Shamrock RoversL
Shamrock Rovers's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.3under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 8
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Shamrock Rovers : Dundalk
Most likely scores
Market1-09%1-111%2-09%2-110%3-17%0-0—3-0—Attack/defence1-012%1-111%2-011%2-110%3-1—0-07%3-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-09%1-012%1-11-111%1-111%2-02-09%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%3-13-17%3-1—0-00-0—0-07%3-03-0—3-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%82%82%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals64%71%71%
Over 2.5 goals59%51%51%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes58%50%50%
1 – Shamrock Rovers win57%59% · Elo 61%59%· Elo 61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%41%41%
Both teams to score: no42%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals41%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals36%29%29%
X – draw24%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
2 – Dundalk win19%18% · Elo 16%18%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals18%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Shamrock Rovers attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1544defence1413+131 pts to the attack
Dundalk attack vs Shamrock Rovers defenceattack1492defence1628−136 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shamrock Rovers matches average only 7.7 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • Shamrock Rovers: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Dundalk: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers33198654:3365
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Dundalk (half time 3-2).

Did the Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.