Premier DivisionMatchday 25

St. Patricks 1-1 Dundalk: prediction, tips and result

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St. Patricks
2-02-00-23-01-1
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Dundalk
1-21-22-32-11-0
Stadium:
Richmond Park, Dublin

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

Other tips

  • Match Result: St. PatricksLost67%

    St. Patricks: won 7 of their last 10 league matches at home

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Patricks148767%54%Draw19%26%Dundalk131314%20%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.560%53%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dundalk2:0St. PatricksL
  2. St. Patricks4:0DundalkW
  3. Dundalk1:2St. PatricksW
  4. St. Patricks2:3DundalkL
  5. Dundalk0:0St. PatricksD
St. Patricks's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 7
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 0.9total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 0.9total 2.8
St. Patricks : Dundalk
Most likely scores
Market1-09%2-011%1-110%2-110%3-08%0-0—Attack/defence1-011%2-011%1-111%2-110%3-07%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-09%1-011%2-02-011%2-011%1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%0-00-0—0-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals82%77%77%
12 – no draw81%78%78%
1 – St. Patricks win67%61% · Elo 54%61%· Elo 54%
Under 3.5 goals63%69%69%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals60%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes53%51%51%
Both teams to score: no47%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals40%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals37%31%31%
X2 – away team avoid defeat33%39%39%
X – draw19%22% · Elo 26%22%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals18%23%23%
2 – Dundalk win14%17% · Elo 20%17%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
St. Patricks attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1551defence1411+140 pts to the attack
Dundalk attack vs St. Patricks defenceattack1481defence1627−146 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Patricks: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • St. Patricks matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Dundalk score a lot late on: 14 of 34 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • St. Patricks: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Dundalk: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

St. Patricks

Dundalk

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Patricks32178752:2559
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Patricks vs Dundalk?

St. Patricks 1-1 Dundalk (half time 0-1).

Did the St. Patricks vs Dundalk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.

See also