Premier DivisionMatchday 30

Dundalk 0-4 St. Patricks: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Oriel Park, Dundalk (attendance: 2,435)

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost61%

Dundalk: scored in each of their last 17 league matches; goals at both ends in 10 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDundalk131327%27%Draw25%29%St. Patricks148748%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.559%50%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. St. Patricks1:1DundalkD
  2. Dundalk2:0St. PatricksW
  3. St. Patricks4:0DundalkL
  4. Dundalk1:2St. PatricksL
  5. St. Patricks2:3DundalkW
Dundalk's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.5total 2.7
Dundalk : St. Patricks
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-18%1-29%1-0—0-27%0-0—2-17%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-29%1-08%0-28%0-07%2-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-18%0-110%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-28%0-00-0—0-07%2-12-17%2-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%75%75%
12 – no draw75%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%71%71%
Under 3.5 goals64%72%72%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes61%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals59%50%50%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%56%56%
2 – St. Patricks win48%44% · Elo 44%44%· Elo 44%
Under 2.5 goals41%50%50%
Both teams to score: no39%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals36%28%28%
1 – Dundalk win27%30% · Elo 27%30%· Elo 27%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals19%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Dundalk attack vs St. Patricks defenceattack1503defence1625−122 pts to the attack
St. Patricks attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1544defence1408+136 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Patricks: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Dundalk: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • Dundalk played 3 days ago
  • St. Patricks played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Patricks32178752:2559
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dundalk vs St. Patricks?

Dundalk 0-4 St. Patricks (half time 0-2).

Did the Dundalk vs St. Patricks tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.