Premier DivisionMatchday 26

Dundalk 1-1 Sligo Rovers: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Oriel Park, Dundalk (attendance: 2,266)

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost62%

over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (47% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

Other tips

  • Match Result: DundalkLost66%

    Sligo Rovers: winless in their last 7 league matches

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 3.5 goals in 2 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (24% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDundalk131366%49%Draw19%28%Sligo Rovers123015%23%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%58%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sligo Rovers2:0DundalkL
  2. Dundalk1:0Sligo RoversW
  3. Sligo Rovers2:1DundalkL
  4. Dundalk1:0Sligo RoversW
  5. Sligo Rovers1:1DundalkD
Dundalk's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.0total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Dundalk : Sligo Rovers
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-010%2-110%1-09%3-08%1-2—3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-08%2-110%1-09%3-0—1-26%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-09%3-03-08%3-0—1-21-2—1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat85%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
12 – no draw81%76%76%
1 – Dundalk win66%52% · Elo 49%52%· Elo 49%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals62%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals60%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes56%58%58%
Both teams to score: no44%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals40%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals38%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%48%48%
X – draw19%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
2 – Sligo Rovers win15%24% · Elo 23%24%· Elo 23%
Attack vs defence
Dundalk attack vs Sligo Rovers defenceattack1488defence1377+111 pts to the attack
Sligo Rovers attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1417defence1414+3 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sligo Rovers concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Sligo Rovers: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sligo Rovers matches average 12.6 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Sligo Rovers: no win in 7 matches
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • Dundalk: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sligo Rovers: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
10Sligo Rovers33582025:5923
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Dundalk 1-1 Sligo Rovers (half time 0-0).

Did the Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.