Premier DivisionMatchday 34

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk: prediction, tips and stats

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Sligo Rovers
0-30-21-30-11-5
1.5:1.5Pre-match
Dundalk
1-22-30-41-13-2

Our tips

Tip in 3d 11h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloSligo Rovers123023%32%Draw23%30%Dundalk131354%39%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%61%O2.561%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Dundalk1:1Sligo RoversD
  2. Sligo Rovers2:0DundalkW
  3. Dundalk1:0Sligo RoversL
  4. Sligo Rovers2:1DundalkW
  5. Dundalk1:0Sligo RoversL
Sligo Rovers's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.3under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.9total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Sligo Rovers : Dundalk
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%2-1—0-28%0-18%1-0—2-2—1-36%Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-2—0-17%1-07%2-26%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%2-12-1—2-18%0-20-28%0-2—0-10-18%0-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-2—2-26%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%80%80%
X2 – away team avoid defeat77%64%64%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals62%65%65%
Over 2.5 goals61%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes61%61%61%
2 – Dundalk win54%39% · Elo 39%39%· Elo 39%
1X – home team avoid defeat46%61%61%
Under 2.5 goals39%43%43%
Both teams to score: no39%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals38%35%35%
1 – Sligo Rovers win23%36% · Elo 32%36%· Elo 32%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 30%25%· Elo 30%
Under 1.5 goals17%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Sligo Rovers attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1374defence1386−12 pts to the attack
Dundalk attack vs Sligo Rovers defenceattack1494defence1350+144 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.561%60%
8.548%46%
9.536%30%
10.525%22%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sligo Roverswe expect 4.3, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Dundalkwe expect 4.2, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 22.4 in this match, 21.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.561%53%
21.554%49%
22.547%44%
23.540%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sligo Roverswe expect 11.1, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Dundalkwe expect 11.5, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.586%78%
2.567%49%
3.546%34%
4.527%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Sligo Roverswe expect 2.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Dundalkwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Streaks before the match

  • Sligo Rovers15 matches without a winat home: 9Went on 74%League 61%Model 77%Record 34
  • Sligo Rovers5 defeats in a rowat home: 2Went on 49%League 29%Model 54%Record 22
All streaks

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sligo Rovers concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Dundalk concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Sligo Rovers score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Sligo Rovers: 5 defeats in a row
  • Dundalk: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • Sligo Rovers: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Dundalk: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Sligo Rovers

Dundalk

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
10Sligo Rovers33582025:5923
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Dundalk are the favourites. Chances: Sligo Rovers win 23%, draw 23%, Dundalk win 54%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Expected goals: 3.1 (Sligo Rovers 1.2, Dundalk 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

The chance that both teams score is 61%.

When is Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

The Premier Division match kicks off 17 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).

See also