Premier DivisionMatchday 33

Dundalk 1-2 Bohemians: prediction, tips and result

·

Dundalk
1-23-21-10-42-3
1-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Bohemians
2-13-23-05-31-3
Stadium:
Oriel Park, Dundalk

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon63%

Bohemians: scored in each of their last 22 league matches; goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (55% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Bohemians: Over 3.5Lost60%

    Bohemians: 5.2 shots on target a match, Dundalk's opponents had 5.2 on average, league average 3.4; our numbers for Bohemians: 4.3 shots on target against a league average of 3.4

  • Offsides – Bohemians: Over 1.5Lost63%

    Bohemians: 1.6 offsides a match, Dundalk's opponents were caught offside 2.9 times on average, league average 1.5; our numbers for Bohemians: 2.2 offsides against a league average of 1.5

  • Fouls – Dundalk: Over 10.5Won56%

    Dundalk: 12.1 fouls a match, Bohemians's opponents committed 11.2 on average, league average 10.4; our numbers for Dundalk: 11.3 fouls against a league average of 10.4

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDundalk131320%26%Draw21%29%Bohemians146559%46%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%61%O2.564%60%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bohemians1:2DundalkW
  2. Dundalk1:3BohemiansL
  3. Bohemians1:1DundalkD
  4. Dundalk0:2BohemiansL
  5. Bohemians1:1DundalkD
Dundalk's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 59% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 2.1total 3.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.8total 3.1
Dundalk : Bohemians
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-210%0-28%0-17%1-37%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-27%0-18%1-3—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-210%1-29%0-20-28%0-27%0-10-17%0-18%1-31-37%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%82%82%
X2 – away team avoid defeat80%72%72%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals64%60%60%
Our tip: Both teams to score: yes61%61%61%
2 – Bohemians win59%48% · Elo 46%48%· Elo 46%
Under 3.5 goals58%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals42%38%38%
1X – home team avoid defeat41%52%52%
Both teams to score: no39%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals36%40%40%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 29%24%· Elo 29%
1 – Dundalk win20%28% · Elo 26%28%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals15%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Dundalk attack vs Bohemians defenceattack1495defence1553−58 pts to the attack
Bohemians attack vs Dundalk defenceattack1614defence1386+228 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.560%58%
8.546%45%
9.534%30%
10.524%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Dundalkwe expect 4.0, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Bohemianswe expect 4.3, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 22.1 in this match, 21.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.559%52%
21.552%48%
22.545%43%
23.538%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Dundalkwe expect 11.3, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Bohemianswe expect 10.9, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 68%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 32%over
We expect 3.5 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.586%78%
2.568%49%
3.547%34%
4.528%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Dundalkwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Bohemianswe expect 2.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 63%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Dundalk concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Bohemians score 2.3 goals per game
  • Bohemians: 4 wins in a row
  • Dundalk: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dundalk: newly promoted
  • Dundalk: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Bohemians: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Dundalk

Bohemians

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Bohemians33178858:4059
6Dundalk3310111250:5541
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Dundalk 1-2 Bohemians (half time 0-1).

Did the Dundalk vs Bohemians tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.

See also