Premier DivisionMatchday 28

Bohemians 5-3 Derry City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Dalymount Park, Dublin

The match in numbers

1X2EloBohemians146551%44%Draw26%29%Derry City141623%27%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%51%O2.552%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Derry City4:1BohemiansL
  2. Bohemians1:1Derry CityD
  3. Derry City0:1BohemiansW
  4. Bohemians3:4Derry CityL
  5. Derry City1:1BohemiansD
Bohemians's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.5under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.1total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Bohemians : Derry City
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat77%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals77%71%71%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals71%76%76%
Both teams to score: yes54%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals52%46%46%
1 – Bohemians win51%45% · Elo 44%45%· Elo 44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals48%54%54%
Both teams to score: no46%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals29%24%24%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
2 – Derry City win23%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals23%29%29%
Attack vs defence
Bohemians attack vs Derry City defenceattack1578defence1582−4 pts to the attack
Derry City attack vs Bohemians defenceattack1521defence1559−38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Bohemians33178858:4059
5Derry City32914945:4241
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bohemians vs Derry City?

Bohemians 5-3 Derry City (half time 0-1).