Premier DivisionMatchday 26

St. Patricks 1-1 Derry City: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Richmond Park, Dublin

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Patricks148753%47%Draw27%28%Derry City141620%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%47%O2.547%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Derry City0:0St. PatricksD
  2. St. Patricks0:0Derry CityD
  3. Derry City2:2St. PatricksD
  4. St. Patricks0:1Derry CityL
  5. Derry City1:0St. PatricksL
St. Patricks's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.2under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.5under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.9total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
St. Patricks : Derry City
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%2-09%2-19%0-010%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-013%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-09%0-010%0-10-1—0-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat80%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals75%79%79%
12 – no draw73%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals73%68%68%
1 – St. Patricks win53%47% · Elo 47%47%· Elo 47%
Under 2.5 goals53%58%58%
Both teams to score: no51%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes49%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals47%42%42%
X – draw27%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals27%32%32%
Over 3.5 goals25%21%21%
2 – Derry City win20%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Attack vs defence
St. Patricks attack vs Derry City defenceattack1551defence1573−22 pts to the attack
Derry City attack vs St. Patricks defenceattack1514defence1617−103 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Patricks: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • St. Patricks matches average 12.4 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Derry City: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • St. Patricks: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Derry City: 30 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2St. Patricks32178752:2559
5Derry City32914945:4241
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Patricks vs Derry City?

St. Patricks 1-1 Derry City (half time 1-0).