Serie AMatchday 3

Cagliari 1-0 Lecce: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Unipol Domus, Cagliari (attendance: 15,694)
Referee:
Juan Luca Sacchi

The match in numbers

1X2EloCagliari176142%42%Draw31%30%Lecce169326%28%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%47%O2.540%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cagliari0:2LecceL
  2. Lecce1:2CagliariW
  3. Cagliari4:1LecceW
  4. Lecce1:0CagliariL
  5. Cagliari1:1LecceD
Cagliari's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 4
RefereeJ. Luca Sacchi−0.5 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Cagliari : Lecce
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-011%0-19%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-010%0-19%2-09%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-013%0-00-011%0-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals68%68%68%
12 – no draw68%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals60%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%54%54%
Both teams to score: no53%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes47%47%47%
1 – Cagliari win42%46% · Elo 42%46%· Elo 42%
Over 2.5 goals40%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals32%32%32%
X – draw31%28% · Elo 30%28%· Elo 30%
2 – Lecce win26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals20%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Cagliari attack vs Lecce defenceattack1440defence1459−19 pts to the attack
Lecce attack vs Cagliari defenceattack1351defence1471−120 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cagliari matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.8) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Cagliari: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Cagliari: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lecce: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Cagliari64116:313
13Lecce62046:126
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cagliari vs Lecce?

Cagliari 1-0 Lecce (half time 1-0).