Serie AMatchday 4
Como 2-1 Parma: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
- Referee:
- Giuseppe Mucera
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won62%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%50%O2.562%53%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Como1:0ParmaW
- Parma0:0ComoD
- Parma0:1ComoW
- Como1:1ParmaD
- Como2:2ParmaD
Como's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 8.8over 8.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.8under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 1
RefereeG. Mucera−1.3 cards vs average3 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.9 : 0.9total 2.8
Como : ParmaMost likely scores
Market2-014%3-012%1-010%1-1—2-18%4-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%3-07%1-011%1-111%2-110%4-0—3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-014%2-011%3-03-012%3-07%1-01-010%1-011%1-11-1—1-111%2-12-18%2-110%4-04-08%4-0—3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 93%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 87%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%77% | 77% |
| 1 – Como win | 80%62% · Elo 66% | 62%· Elo 66% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 62%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%31% | 31% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 20%38% | 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 13%22% · Elo 21% | 22%· Elo 21% |
| 2 – Parma win | 7%16% · Elo 13% | 16%· Elo 13% |
Attack vs defence
Como attack vs Parma defenceattack1609defence1453+156 pts to the attack
Parma attack vs Como defenceattack1389defence1583−194 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Parma: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Parma score only 0.7 goals per game
- Como: unbeaten in 8 matches
- Parma score a lot late on: 7 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Como: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Parma: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Como vs Parma?
Como 2-1 Parma (half time 1-0).
Did the Como vs Parma tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.