Serie AMatchday 3

Fiorentina 1-2 Torino: prediction, tips and result

·

1-2Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Referee:
Davide Massa

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 3.5Lost58%

referee Davide Massa averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 3.8

For the brave
Cards: Over 4.5Lost39%

referee Davide Massa averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 3.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFiorentina178846%43%Draw29%29%Torino176925%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%57%O2.549%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fiorentina2:2TorinoD
  2. Torino0:0FiorentinaD
  3. Fiorentina1:1TorinoD
  4. Torino0:1FiorentinaW
  5. Torino0:0FiorentinaD
Fiorentina's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.8under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.1league 3.8over 3.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.lost · ended 0
RefereeD. Massa+0.8 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.1total 2.6Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.8
Fiorentina : Torino
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-09%0-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%2-07%0-0—1-27%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-07%0-00-08%0-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat75%70%70%
Over 1.5 goals75%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals73%69%69%
12 – no draw71%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes53%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals51%47%47%
Over 2.5 goals49%53%53%
Both teams to score: no47%43%43%
1 – Fiorentina win46%44% · Elo 43%44%· Elo 43%
X – draw29%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals27%31%31%
2 – Torino win25%30% · Elo 27%30%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals25%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Fiorentina attack vs Torino defenceattack1501defence1446+55 pts to the attack
Torino attack vs Fiorentina defenceattack1473defence1453+20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fiorentina score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Fiorentina: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Torino: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Torino62137:97
19Fiorentina61147:144
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Fiorentina vs Torino?

Fiorentina 1-2 Torino (half time 0-0).

Did the Fiorentina vs Torino tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 3.5. The tip lost.