Serie AMatchday 4

Genoa 1-1 Frosinone: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
Referee:
Andrea Rapuano

The match in numbers

1X2EloGenoa173842%41%Draw29%30%Frosinone173229%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%52%O2.552%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Genoa1:1FrosinoneD
  2. Frosinone2:1GenoaL
  3. Genoa0:0FrosinoneD
  4. Frosinone1:2GenoaW
  5. Genoa4:0FrosinoneW
Genoa's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeA. Rapuano+0.2 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Genoa : Frosinone
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%2-07%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-09%0-08%0-18%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-09%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-18%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%74%74%
12 – no draw71%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals70%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes56%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals52%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals48%52%52%
Both teams to score: no44%48%48%
1 – Genoa win42%47% · Elo 41%47%· Elo 41%
Over 3.5 goals30%26%26%
X – draw29%26% · Elo 30%26%· Elo 30%
2 – Frosinone win29%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals23%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Genoa attack vs Frosinone defenceattack1443defence1416+27 pts to the attack
Frosinone attack vs Genoa defenceattack1396defence1472−76 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Genoa score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Genoa: 5 defeats in a row
  • Frosinone: newly promoted
  • Genoa: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Frosinone: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Frosinone63129:710
17Genoa61145:114
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Genoa vs Frosinone?

Genoa 1-1 Frosinone (half time 0-1).