Serie AMatchday 2
Lazio 1-0 Genoa: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Referee:
- Ermanno Feliciani
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost56%
referee Ermanno Feliciani averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.8
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost35%
referee Ermanno Feliciani averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.8; our numbers: 3.4 cards against a league average of 3.8
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%50%O2.536%46%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lazio3:2GenoaW
- Genoa0:3LazioW
- Genoa0:2LazioW
- Lazio3:0GenoaW
- Genoa0:1LazioW
Lazio's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.8under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 4
RefereeE. Feliciani−1.4 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.9total 2.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.5
Lazio : GenoaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-013%0-013%0-110%2-1—2-09%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-18%2-19%2-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-013%1-011%0-00-013%0-09%0-10-110%0-18%2-12-1—2-19%2-02-09%2-09%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64%71% | 71% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64%54% | 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%50% | 50% |
| 1 – Lazio win | 41%46% · Elo 52% | 46%· Elo 52% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 36%29% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36%46% | 46% |
| X – draw | 32%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Genoa win | 27%27% · Elo 21% | 27%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Lazio attack vs Genoa defenceattack1494defence1480+14 pts to the attack
Genoa attack vs Lazio defenceattack1454defence1525−71 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Genoa score only 0.5 goals per game
- Lazio: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Genoa: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Lazio
Genoa
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lazio vs Genoa?
Lazio 1-0 Genoa (half time 1-0).
Did the Lazio vs Genoa tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.