Serie AMatchday 4

Inter 5-3 Udinese: prediction, tips and result

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5-3Full time(half time 2-2)
Stadium:
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan (attendance: 73,705)
Referee:
Luca J. Pairetto

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5; over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Match Result: InterWon79%

    Inter: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; 3 league wins in a row

  • Cards: Over 3.5Lost55%

    referee Luca J. Pairetto averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 3.8

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won47%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloInter206279%68%Draw13%20%Udinese17738%12%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%57%O2.568%65%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Udinese0:1InterW
  2. Inter1:2UdineseL
  3. Inter2:1UdineseW
  4. Udinese2:3InterW
  5. Udinese1:2InterW
Inter's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 8.8over 8.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 2
RefereeL. J. Pairetto+0.8 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 0.7total 3.5Attack/defence2.4 : 1.0total 3.4
Inter : Udinese
Most likely scores
Market2-011%3-011%2-18%1-1—3-18%1-08%Attack/defence2-010%3-08%2-110%1-18%3-18%1-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%3-03-011%3-08%2-12-18%2-110%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-18%3-18%1-01-08%1-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat92%86%86%
12 – no draw87%82%82%
Over 1.5 goals87%85%85%
1 – Inter win79%68% · Elo 68%68%· Elo 68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%65%65%
Under 3.5 goals53%57%57%
Both teams to score: yes50%57%57%
Both teams to score: no50%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals47%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals32%35%35%
X2 – away team avoid defeat21%32%32%
X – draw13%18% · Elo 20%18%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals13%15%15%
2 – Udinese win8%14% · Elo 12%14%· Elo 12%
Attack vs defence
Inter attack vs Udinese defenceattack1730defence1461+269 pts to the attack
Udinese attack vs Inter defenceattack1474defence1604−130 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Inter score 2.6 goals per game
  • Inter: unbeaten in 13 matches
  • Inter: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Udinese: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Inter651018:816
15Udinese61149:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Inter vs Udinese?

Inter 5-3 Udinese (half time 2-2).

Did the Inter vs Udinese tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.