Serie AMatchday 3
Juventus 1-1 Milan: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Allianz Stadium, Turin (attendance: 41,557)
- Referee:
- Maurizio Mariani
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%
under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost30%
under 1.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%55%O2.543%53%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Milan0:0JuventusD
- Juventus0:0MilanD
- Juventus2:0MilanW
- Milan0:0JuventusD
- Juventus0:0MilanD
Juventus's record: 1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses0.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.8under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Mariani−0.1 cards vs average25 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.2total 2.8
Juventus : MilanMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-010%2-19%2-09%0-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%0-0—2-110%2-08%0-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-112%1-01-012%1-010%0-00-010%0-0—2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%75% | 75% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 57%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 51%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Juventus win | 43%48% · Elo 43% | 48%· Elo 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%53% | 53% |
| X – draw | 30%25% · Elo 30% | 25%· Elo 30% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%23% | 23% |
| 2 – Milan win | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%30% | 30% |
Attack vs defence
Juventus attack vs Milan defenceattack1606defence1538+68 pts to the attack
Milan attack vs Juventus defenceattack1563defence1601−38 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Juventus: only 1 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Juventus concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Milan matches average only 6.3 corners (league 8.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Milan: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Juventus: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Milan: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Juventus vs Milan?
Juventus 1-1 Milan (half time 0-0).
Did the Juventus vs Milan tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.