Serie AMatchday 4

Venezia 2-4 Fiorentina: prediction, tips and result

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2-4Full time(half time 1-2)
Stadium:
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Referee:
Francesco Fourneau

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won60%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won38%

our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVenezia165135%27%Draw28%29%Fiorentina178837%43%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%55%O2.560%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Venezia2:1FiorentinaW
  2. Fiorentina0:0VeneziaD
  3. Fiorentina1:0VeneziaL
  4. Venezia1:0FiorentinaW
  5. Venezia2:0FiorentinaW
Venezia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeF. Fourneau+0.1 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Venezia : Fiorentina
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-16%1-28%1-0—2-18%0-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-29%1-08%2-18%0-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-16%0-19%1-21-28%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%2-22-27%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%75%75%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes63%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals62%71%71%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals60%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals40%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals38%29%29%
2 – Fiorentina win37%41% · Elo 43%41%· Elo 43%
Both teams to score: no37%45%45%
1 – Venezia win35%33% · Elo 27%33%· Elo 27%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals18%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Venezia attack vs Fiorentina defenceattack1384defence1454−70 pts to the attack
Fiorentina attack vs Venezia defenceattack1493defence1405+88 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Fiorentina score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Venezia: newly promoted
  • Venezia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fiorentina: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
19Fiorentina61147:144
20Venezia60065:160
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Venezia vs Fiorentina?

Venezia 2-4 Fiorentina (half time 1-2).

Did the Venezia vs Fiorentina tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.