J1 LeagueMatchday 3

Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 V-Varen Nagasaki: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
Referee:
Hiroyuki Kimura

The match in numbers

1X2EloKashiwa Reysol170067%53%Draw20%26%V-Varen Nagasaki155413%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.556%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Kashiwa Reysol5:1V-Varen NagasakiW
  2. V-Varen Nagasaki1:0Kashiwa ReysolL
Kashiwa Reysol's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards2.5league 2.6under 2.5: 54%Expected cards: 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 2.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeH. Kimura0.0 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Kashiwa Reysol : V-Varen Nagasaki
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-012%1-011%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-09%1-011%2-110%3-0—0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%2-02-012%2-09%1-01-011%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%77%77%
12 – no draw80%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals80%73%73%
1 – Kashiwa Reysol win67%51% · Elo 53%51%· Elo 53%
Under 3.5 goals66%73%73%
Over 2.5 goals56%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes50%51%51%
Both teams to score: no50%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals44%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals34%27%27%
X2 – away team avoid defeat33%49%49%
X – draw20%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals20%27%27%
2 – V-Varen Nagasaki win13%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Kashiwa Reysol attack vs V-Varen Nagasaki defenceattack1529defence1444+85 pts to the attack
V-Varen Nagasaki attack vs Kashiwa Reysol defenceattack1436defence1527−91 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • V-Varen Nagasaki: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Kashiwa Reysol: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kashiwa Reysol970221:1421
14V-Varen Nagasaki923411:169
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kashiwa Reysol vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Kashiwa Reysol 4-2 V-Varen Nagasaki (half time 1-0).